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EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: Bunds Lead Rally

BONDS

Core European instruments rallied strongly Monday, as the Israel-Hamas conflict over the weekend helped boost safe havens.

  • An early geopolitical-related bid in Bunds and Gilts faded over the course of the morning.
  • While trading in cash Treasuries was closed for holidays, global yields dropped sharply in mid-afternoon on Dallas Fed Pres Logan's comment that higher market yields may mean less need for the Fed to raise rates.
  • Just before those headlines crossed, EGBs benefited from a Reuters sources story pointing to little urgency at the ECB to curtail PEPP purchases ahead of schedule.
  • Peripheries benefited from the latter in particular, with 10Y BTP yields falling 10+bp in the last 3 hours of European cash trade, but still finished wider of Bunds on the day.
  • Bunds and Gilts leaned bull flatter, with some modest outperformance in the curve bellies, German yields down in double-digits across the curve.
  • Looking ahead, Tuesday brings another quiet session for European data. BOE's Mann speaks later this evening, with Tuesday morning bringing the minutes of the BOE's financial policy meeting.

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