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EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: ECB Rate Pushback; BoE Eyed

BONDS

Periphery yields tightened while the Gilt curve underperformed again with notable weakness at the short-end ahead of the US Fed decision after hours and of course the BoE Thursday.

  • Some pushback against ECB rate hike pricing by Lagarde and Villeroy helped boost the EGB space, with Italy and Greece outperforming on the periphery. A strong US ISM Services reading in the afternoon pulled Global FI weaker though.
  • Overall, fairly subdued session volume-wise by recent standards, with many on the sidelines pre-Fed / BoE.
  • A very mixed outlook for Thursday's BoE, with a majority of analysts seeing a 15bp hike tomorrow, but a large plurality seeing December or later (see the MNI Preview).

Closing Yields / 10-Yr Periphery EGB Spreads To Germany

  • Germany: The 2-Yr yield is up 1.2bps at -0.654%, 5-Yr is unchanged at -0.475%, 10-Yr is down 0.3bps at -0.168%, and 30-Yr is down 2.8bps at 0.148%.
  • UK: The 2-Yr yield is up 3.7bps at 0.707%, 5-Yr is up 2.4bps at 0.845%, 10-Yr is up 3.6bps at 1.075%, and 30-Yr is up 3bps at 1.203%.
  • Italian BTP spread down 2.3bps at 121.5bps / Greek down 2.6bps at 136.9bps

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