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EGBS: /STIR: Bonds A Little Softer Post-ECB, Implied Rates A Little Firmer

EGBS

EGBs away from session highs as ECB President Lagarde doesn’t seem too worried by downside risks to growth.

  • Comments on the risks to the ECB’s central economic outlook pointed to a mix of downside risks to growth (the focus of the dovish leaning central bankers) and upside risks to inflation (the focus of the hawkish contingent).
  • Lagarde stressed that she will not pre-commit when it comes to the October decision. highlighting data-dependence, while noting there is only a relatively short time until the next decision.
  • Bund futures still stuck within yesterday’s range, despite printing fresh session highs and lows over the press conference.
  • Downticks in equities provide support in recent trade.
  • EUR 3m10 vol. to fresh session lows.
  • Spreads to Bunds off session tights.
  • Previously covered round numbers in BTP/Bunds (140bp) and OAT/Bunds (70bp) still limiting tightening moves.
  • ECB-dated OIS little changed to 2bp less dovish vs. levels prevailing ahead of the initial decision.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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