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Free AccessElevated September CPI Reads Point To Further Tightening
September CPI inflation releases in Asia have been mixed with Korea and Thailand showing headline inflation peaking but the Philippines and Indonesia posting further increases. Underlying inflation has tentatively peaked at elevated rates in a number of countries and continued to rise in others, thus implying that Asian central banks have more tightening to do.
- The Bank of Korea already began tightening in 2021, one of the first central banks to do so, but September inflation moderated for only the second consecutive month to 5.6% from 5.7%. Core actually rose slightly to 4.5% driven by stronger services prices. Inflation remains well above other countries in the region. Higher utility bills should drive a tick up in the October CPI.
- Inflation in Thailand moderated more than expected in September to 6.4% from 7.9% due to lower food and energy costs, which was a welcome development given the August rate was the highest since July 2008. However core inflation was steady at 3.1% (also a high since 2008).
- Philippines September CPI rose to 6.9%, as expected, from 6.3% with the core falling slightly to 4.5%.
Source: MNI - Market News, Refinitiv
Other Asia Core CPI y/y%
Source: MNI - Market News, Refinitiv
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.