MNI China Daily Summary: Tuesday, December 10

MNI BRIEF: China Nov Exports Slows, Imports Slide

MNI BRIEF: China Crude Oil Imports Accelerate In November

CHINA NOV EXPORTS +6.7% Y/Y VS MEDIAN +8.9% Y/Y: CUSTOMS

MNI: CHINA YTD EXPORTS +6.7% Y/Y IN YUAN TERM: CUSTOMS

MNI: PBOC Net Injects CNY90.3 Bln via OMO Tuesday

US NFIB NOV SMALL BUSINESS INDEX 101.7

MNI: GERMAN NOV CPI +2.2 % Y/Y

MNI: NORWAY NOV CORE CPI +0.1% M/M, +3% Y/Y

MNI EXCLUSIVE: EU-Mercosur Deal Close, But Likely Short-Lived - Officials

AUSTRALIA: 2025 Election Outcome Looking More Uncertain According To Newspoll

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EM Central Bank Decisions Next Week

EMERGING MARKETS
  • HUNGARY: The NBH rate decision takes focus on Tuesday. Having completed the process of rate normalisation in September, the central bank are expected to moderate the pace of rate cuts at this meeting – though all options from no change to another 100bp cut are on the table.
  • TURKEY: The CBRT are expected to deliver another large-scale rate hike on Thursday with a 500bp increase to the one-week repo rate. However, with headline inflation running above 60% and expected to increase through year-end, real rates still remain deeply negative.
  • CHILE: The BCCh is widely expected to continue its easing cycle with another 75bp reference rate cut to 8.75% on Thursday. However, most recent comments regarding the significant weakening of the peso suggest the decision is not a forgone conclusion.
  • RUSSIA: No change to the CBR’s key rate is the likely outcome on Friday. Risks are skewed to the upside, however, given the weak ruble and hawkish bias of the central bank.
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