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Free AccessEmbattled PM Suga Presses Pause On "Go To" Campaign
USD/JPY ground lower in Monday's European hours, before wiping out losses in a single upswing just ahead of the WMR fix. BBG cited a build-up in volume into option expiries, possibly linked to mid-month adjustments. On the news front, the move roughly coincided with NYC Mayor de Blasio's remark that the City should prepare for a second full shutdown & the announcement that London will enter tier 3 (highest) restrictions on Wednesday.
- Japanese PM Suga decided to stop the nationwide "Go To" travel campaign for two weeks in an attempt to reign in the spread of Covid-19 infections. Earlier press reports pointed to the potential for local suspensions, but a complete halt to the programme came as a surprise.
- 79% of respondents in the NHK survey published this morning said that the gov't should temporarily pause the "Go To" scheme, while 57% said that the gov't should declare another state of emergency. The poll indicated continued decline in the approval of PM Suga's Cabinet, with rating sliding 14 pp to 42%.
- Elsewhere, the Nikkei reported that the BoJ is planning to extend its corporate financing programme by 6 months. Policymakers will make the decision at this week's policy meeting.
- USD/JPY last seen at Y104.01, a touch lower on the day. A break under Dec 14 low of Y103.51 would turn bearish focus to Nov 6/Mar 12 lows of Y103.18/09. On the flip side, a recoil above Nov 4 high of Y103.76 would clear the way to the 76.4% retracement of the Nov 11 - 18 sell-off at Y105.20.
- Focus turns to Japanese trade balance & flash Jibun Bank PMIs (Wednesday) as well as CPI & BoJ MonPol decision (Friday).
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.