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Ericsson 28s At Tightest Level Against Nokia 28s Since February

TECHNOLOGY


  • Ericsson 28s are at their tightest levels against Nokia 28s since February, having outperformed by ~7bp since Ericsson reported on 12 July in a set of results that we read as stronger than Nokia’s results on 18 July (as was also the case in Q1).
  • While both are facing top-line weakness on the back of low market spending in the telecoms sector, we prefer the Ericsson credit on better cash flow driven by better operational performance and WC optimisation, a more prudent financial policy with buyback/M&A news out of Nokia and what looks like a better strategic position for Ericsson in the US market.
  • Ericsson, while still showing a 7% YoY revenue decline, managed to achieve strong beats elsewhere on the income statement and grow the net cash position (even when removing the impact of a sizeable one-off gain). FY guidance was maintained.
  • Nokia, on the other hand, not only missed on the top-line with an 18% YoY decline (to the lowest quarterly figure since 2015) but also further down the income statement (a one-off AT&T settlement meant a technical op profit beat though it would have been a miss otherwise). The net cash position did grow as a result though not as much as Ericsson’s did. Buybacks were also accelerated while the management call implied additional buybacks to offset dilution on the Infinera deal. FY guidance was cut.





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