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EU LNG Imports Drop Amid Growing Flexibility of Global LNG Trade

LNG

Europe's LNG imports dropped by 20% yoy in Sep23, leading to their steepest drop since Russia's invasion of Ukraine according to IEA.

  • Full storage sites combined with continued demand reductions in Europe widened the JKM premium over TTF to an average of $2.5/mmbtu.
  • The premium encourages flexible LNG volumes to divert away from Europe towards the more lucrative Asia markets. China increased LNG imports by 20% yoy.
  • The growing flexibility and liquidity of global LNG trade is increasingly sensitive to price signals. IGU recently highlighted almost half of global LNG is traded based on gas-on-gas competition.
  • The drop in European LNG imports is reflective of current market dynamics but is by no mean a structural change. IEA expect LNG to remain a baseload source for the European market through the medium-term.


Source: IEA

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