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EUR Market Wrap

CREDIT PRE-MARKET
  • Main/XO opened tighter and traded broadly sideways, briefly rising above yesterday’s close before tightening into the close today to end -0.8bp/-4bp, outperforming US equivalents by 0.6/5.6bps DoD.
  • €IG Corp supply came in at €2.25bn across 3 Electric Utilities issuers (EDP, ESP and ELIA) with a total cover of 4.1x and an average ΔIPT of 44.6bp. €IG FIG supply came in at €8.05bn (€0.5bn AT1, €1.5bn T2, €1bn SNP, €2.25bn SP, €1.3bn Covered, €1.5bn Insurance).
  • Of particular note was Credit Mutuel Arkea’s postponement of a 12yr €500mn T2 deal despite already tightening from IPT to final terms by 10bps - we note the two other T2 deals yesterday averaged 36bps of tightening while the four T2 deals so far this year have averaged 32bps.
  • Bunds opened cheaper and traded in a 4bp range for most of the session, tightening to intraday lows around 3pm as some larger corporate/SSA deals priced before rewidening into the close as crude prices found a base (+ $1.30) and pricing headlines slowed. The curve sat 5-6bps higher with swaps broadly in line and 10y BTPs 2.3bps tighter.
  • Today we have French industrial/manufacturing production data at 07:45, Italian retail sales at 09:00, US mortgage applications at 12:00 and US wholesale inventories at 15:00. The ECB’s Guindos/Schnabel/de Cos speak at 08:20/14:00/19:30 followed by the BOE’s Bailey at 14:15 and the Fed’s Williams at 20:15.

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