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EUR Market Wrap

CREDIT UPDATE
  • 2y/10y bunds ended flat/+2.5bp, trading in a tight range through the morning, with heavy sovereign issuance keeping a cap on rallies before following USTs wider in the PM in the wake of the lower than expected Durable Goods Order.
  • Main/XO ended +0.5bp/2.3bp, underperforming CDX IG/HY by 1bp/6.5bp with YTD underperformance now at 2bp/16bp. €IG/€HY cash widened by 1bp/2.5bp with Consumer Cyc Services underrperforming at +3bp (now the only sector wider WoW at +1bp).
  • SXXP ended +0.2% with Basic Resources (+1.7%) outperforming, led higher by Stora Enso despite reports of short positions and Thyssenkrupp on planned cost cutting. Media stocks underperformed at -1.2% with Universal weighing on the sub-index ahead of earnings today.
  • Asian equity sentiment has mostly been softer. Easing housing restrictions, announced in the Hong Kong budget, haven't been enough to lift the aggregate HIS which is -1%. SXXP futures are +0.2%.
  • Up today we have:

Date

GMT/Local

Impact

Country

Event

28/02/2024

0700/0800

**

SE

PPI

28/02/2024

0700/1500

**

CN

MNI China Liquidity Index (CLI)

28/02/2024

0900/1000

**

IT

ISTAT Consumer Confidence

28/02/2024

0900/1000

**

IT

ISTAT Business Confidence

28/02/2024

1000/1100

**

EU

EZ Economic Sentiment Indicator

28/02/2024

1000/1100

*

EU

Consumer Confidence, Industrial Sentiment

28/02/2024

1100/1200

EU

ECB's Lagarde and Cipollone in G20 and CB Governors meeting

28/02/2024

1200/0700

**

US

MBA Weekly Applications Index

28/02/2024

1330/0830

*

CA

Current account

28/02/2024

1330/0830

*

CA

Payroll employment

28/02/2024

1330/0830

***

US

GDP

28/02/2024

1330/0830

**

US

Advance Trade, Advance Business Inventories

28/02/2024

1530/1030

**

US

DOE Weekly Crude Oil Stocks

28/02/2024

1530/1530

UK

BOE's Mann at FT future forum event 'The economic outlook..'

28/02/2024

1700/1200

US

Atlanta Fed's Raphael Bostic

28/02/2024

1715/1215

US

Boston Fed's Susan Collins

28/02/2024

1745/1245

US

New York Fed's John Williams

29/02/2024

2350/0850

*

JP

Retail sales (p)

29/02/2024

2350/0850

**

JP

Industrial production


Bond Type

Issuer

Exp Rating

Ticker

B'mark

Amount (bn)

Spread (bp)

Δ IPT (bp)

BBG NIC (bp)

Cover (x)

Banks (Sr Pref)

UNICREDIT SPA

BBB

UCGIM 4 03/05/34

MS

1.25

125

45

17bp

N/A

Banks (Sr Unsec)

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP PLC

A-

LLOYDS Float 03/05/27

FRN

0.50

70

38

N/A

6.0

Covered (Banking)

ICCREA BANCA SPA

AA-

ICCREA 3 1/2 03/04/32

MS

0.50

80

12

N/A

10.0

Covered (Wealth Management)

UBS SWITZERLAND AG

AAA

UBS 3.304 03/05/29

MS

1.00

48

15

N/A

7.4

Food & Bev

KRAFT HEINZ FOODS CO

BBB

KHC 3 1/2 03/15/29

MS

0.55

75

35

N/A

2.9

TelCo

BOOKING HOLDINGS INC

A-

BKNG 3 1/2 03/01/29

MS

0.50

65

30

3bp

3.6

TelCo

BOOKING HOLDINGS INC

A-

BKNG 3 5/8 03/01/32

MS

0.65

85

30

6bp

3.2

TelCo

BOOKING HOLDINGS INC

A-

BKNG 3 3/4 03/01/36

MS

0.85

105

30

13bp

2.8

TelCo

BOOKING HOLDINGS INC

A-

BKNG 4 03/01/44

MS

0.75

135

33

26bp

3.9

Transport

AP MOLLER-MAERSK A/S

BBB+

MAERSK 3 3/4 03/05/32

MS

0.50

102

38

N/A

4.2

Transport

AP MOLLER-MAERSK A/S

BBB+

MAERSK 4 1/8 03/05/36

MS

0.50

135

30

N/A

2.2

Utilities

SEVERN TRENT WATER UTIL

BBB+

SVTLN 4 03/05/34

MS

0.50

125

25

N/A

N/A

Grand Total

8.05

96

30

13bp

4.6

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