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  • Bunds closed 7-9bps tighter across the curve after fallout from the softer-than-expected US CPI print helps keep core/semi-core EGBs underpinned and ECB VP de Guindos re-iterated the Bank’s cautious stance at the afternoon’s MNI event, highlighting that “the risks that could derail the disinflation process are clear”. USTs have given back some of yesterday’s gains after Powell stated the "economic outlook is uncertain" while the Fed remains "highly attentive to inflation risks”.
  • Main/XO closed -2bp/-9bp back below 53bp/294bp while €IG/€HY ended flat/+2bp to give WoW moves of +2bp/+10bp. IG fins outperformed while Energy lagged while Tech is the only sector tighter WoW.
  • SXXP was +1.1% compared to +0.9% for SPX with MoM underperformance now standing at +3.4%. Notable €IG movers include Rentokil +14%, Oracle +13.3%, Whirlpool +6%, National Bank of Canada -6%.
  • Asian equity markets are mostly higher, although China markets continue to lag more positive global trends. SX5E futures are +1.2%. Up today:

GMT/Local

Impact

Country

Event

0700/0900

***

ES

HICP (f)

0900/1100

**

EU

Industrial Production

-

***

CN

Money Supply

-

***

CN

New Loans

-

***

CN

Social Financing

1230/0830

***

US

Jobless Claims

1230/0830

**

US

WASDE Weekly Import/Export

1230/0830

***

US

PPI

1230/0830

*

CA

Household debt-to-income

1335/0935

CA

BOC Deputy Kozicki speaks on balance sheet policies.

1430/1030

**

US

Natural Gas Stocks

1530/1130

**

US

US Bill 04 Week Treasury Auction Result

1530/1130

*

US

US Bill 08 Week Treasury Auction Result

1700/1300

***

US

US Treasury Auction Result for 30 Year Bond

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