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EUR Market Wrap

CREDIT PRE-MARKET
  • 2y/10y bunds closed -4bp/-6bp amid a global safe-haven bid – DM team flagged no evident single trigger for the strong afternoon rally in core FI: factors included lower oil prices (on positive Libyan supply headlines), a drop in tech stocks as the US returned from holiday, and a miss in US data (construction activity and ISM manufacturing).
  • Main/XO ended +1.8bp/+8bp at 54.4bp/297bp while €IG was +0.4bp (Corps +0.7bp, Fins +0.1bp) and €HY was +5bp. All IG sectors ended the session wider with Energy nearly +2bp and with Fins the only sector holding flat WoW. $IG was +3.6bp (Corps +3.8bp, Fins +3.3bp) and $HY was +15bp
  • SXXP ended -1.0% while SPX was -2.1% for MoM moves of +4.4%/+3.4%. IG movers included Molson Coors +5%, Amphenol -8%, Albemarle -7%, Warner Bros -6%, Eaton Corp -6%.
  • SX5E/SPX futures are -1.3%/-0.5% after Asian equities have seen significant selling pressure today, as US equity futures broke down through Tuesday lows. Tech related indices saw the largest sell-offs. UST futures have edged slightly higher today, although we remain within Tuesday's ranges. The 10yr yield is close to 3.80%.
  • Later the Fed’s Beige book is released and July JOLTS job openings, durable goods orders and trade balance print. The ECB’s Elderson speaks, European August services/composite PMIs are released and the BoC decision is announced. Friday’s US payrolls will be a focus for crude markets as they await Fed easing to support demand.
DateGMT/LocalImpactFlagCountryEvent
04/09/20240700/0900EUECB's Elderson at Joint European Banking Authority and ECB conference
04/09/20240900/1100**EUPPI
04/09/20241100/0700**USMBA Weekly Applications Index
04/09/2024-***USDomestic-Made Vehicle Sales
04/09/20241230/0830**USTrade Balance
04/09/20241230/0830**CAInternational Merchandise Trade (Trade Balance)
04/09/20241255/0855**USRedbook Retail Sales Index
04/09/20241345/0945***CABank of Canada Policy Decision
04/09/20241400/1000**USFactory New Orders
04/09/20241400/1000***USJOLTS jobs opening level
04/09/20241400/1000***USJOLTS quits Rate
04/09/20241400/1000USMNI Connect Video Conference on the U.S. Fiscal Policy Outlook
04/09/20241430/1030CABOC Governor Press Conference
04/09/20241800/1400USFed Beige Book

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