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EUR Market Wrap

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  • 2y/10y bunds closed +7bp/+4bp, snapping the streak tighter as the ECB meeting outcome was seen as a little less dovish than expected. Lagarde noted downside growth risks but did not convey any urgency to cut rates again in October, highlighting data dependence, while her commentary on Eurozone wages was read somewhat hawkishly.
  • Main/XO ended -2.6bp/-12bp at 55.6bp/298bp while €IG was -1.6bp (Corps -1.7bp, Fins -1.5bp, €HY -11bp) with Cycs -3.2bp but still +10bp WoW and still in wider YTD territory. $IG was -1.4bp (Corps -1.6bp, Fins -1bp, $HY -4bp).
  • SXXP ended +0.8% while SPX was +0.7%. €IG movers included WBD +11%, DSV +10%. SX5E/SPX futures are +0.5%/+0.2%.
  • UST front yields fell overnight with futures higher in the first half of the session, as speculation continues around whether the Fed will cut by 50bps next week. Gold rose to a fresh record high, while oil looks set to post a gain for the week.
  • Looking ahead, we have the BoE inflation survey, ECB speak from Lagarde, while in the US we have trade prices and the U. Mich. Sentiment reading.

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