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EUR Sinks as ZEW Points to Lowest Expectations Since GFC

FOREX
  • The greenback makes modest progress early Tuesday, putting the USD Index north of the Monday highs and nearing the August highs of 106.93.
  • EUR trades under pressure against most others, with EUR/USD printing a new intraday low of 1.0125 following another dire read for the German ZEW survey. The expectations component was a particular source of weakness, dropping to -55.3 from -53.8, the lowest level for the index since the Global Financial Crisis. Today's -55.3 read came in just above the -63.0 from Oct'08. A break below 1.0123 for EUR/USD would be fresh August lows, opening 1.0097 as the next support.
  • USD/JPY is making solid gains on the day, breaking back above the Y134 handle for the first time since the US CPI release last week. JPY is weaker against all others in G10 so far Tuesday. CAD/JPY eyes the 50-dma at 104.98 for direction, a break above which could see the cross break out of the tight August range.
  • US building permits data for July cross later today, as well as Canadian and US housing starts and the July Canadian CPI release. Prices are expected to have risen 0.1% on the month, and 7.6% on the year. US industrial production follows a little later in the session. There are no central bank speakers of note.
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