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EUR/USD Shows Above $1.2310. Georgia Result in Focus

EUR
MNI (London)
  • Recovery off Monday's late low of $1.2242 (having pulled back from its earlier high of $1.2309) touched a high of $1.2290 ahead of the NY open.
  • Early NY pressed rate back to $1.2254 before risk gained fresh interest and rate edged to $1.2306 before closing around $1.2300.
  • Focus in Asia was on the Georgia Senate race, the large voter turnout was seen favouring the Republicans which provided a boost to risk outlook. Demand managed to trigger stops through the recent highs at $1.2309/10 taking rate to $1.2325 before momentum faded.
  • Move reported to have met headwind profit take sales from leveraged accounts, which along with Georgia voting outlook suggesting a Democrat win saw risk bets pared which eased rate down to $1.2276.
  • Vote results proving to be a tight race (winners need to win by a margin of 0.5%) which allowed EUR/USD to nudge back to $1.2306(Tuesday high).
  • Support $1.2276, $1.2254/42, $1.2220. Resistance seen back at $1.2306/10 ahead of $1.2325, $1.2350, $1.2372.
  • Traders note that E1.1bln of EUR puts roll off at today's NY cut at $1.2300.
  • Georgia Senate result provides main focus. D win to open increased fiscal stimulus but expected tax increases. R win to restrict Biden Govt plans, anti tax rises and control on further stimulus.
  • France and Germany CPI , EZ Services PMI and EZ PPI provide morning data interest. US ADP(ahead of Friday NFP), IHS Svcs, Factory Orders the afternoon data interest.
  • MNI Techs: EURUSD maintains a bullish tone and edged higher overnight to a high of 1.2325. Recently, we have highlighted that the daily trend condition is overbought and this suggests the pair is due a correction. The continued move higher though places a correction on hold for now. The resumption of the uptrend signals scope for 1.2353, Apr 20, 2018 high ahead of 1.2380, a Fibonacci projection. Key trend support remains 1.2130, Dec 21 low.
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-586-2231 | john.webb@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-586-2231 | john.webb@marketnews.com

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