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EURCZK Breaks Below Its LT Upward Trending Support

CZECHIA
  • EURCZK breaking below its LT upward trending support line this week.
  • Bullish momentum on CZK could continue in the medium term as traders prepare for a CNB tightening cycle starting in H2 2021.
  • Sell side firms expect 1 to 2 hikes in the second half of this year.
  • Next support to watch on the downside stands at 25.64 (Fed 15 low); a break below that level would open the door for a move down to 25.27 (early March 2020 low).
  • On the topside, key resistance to watch stands at 26.04 (50D and 100D SMA).
  • As a reminder, CNB is expected to keep its benchmark rate steady at 0.25% today (1.30 London time). Press conference will follow at 2.45pm.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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