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EURHUF Retraces Higher This Week After Finding Support At 38.2% Fibo

HUNGARY
  • EURHUF has been retracing higher this week after finding support at the 392.52 level, which corresponds to the 38.2% Fibo retracement of the 352.40 – 416.90 range.
  • A break below that level would have opened the door for a move down to 389.40 (100DMA).
  • Key resistance to watch on the topside stands at 399.30 (50DMA), followed by 404.60.
  • Yesterday, economic data showed that CPI inflation saw a significant 0.7pp forecast beat in the July data, jumping 2.0pp to 13.7% y/y. This is the highest reading since the Summer of 1998.
  • Even though the NBH is likely to keep its 1W depo rate unchanged at 10.75% on August 11, we could see further readjustment on base and 1W depo rates in the coming weeks if risk aversion remains high and USD starts to surge again.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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