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EURHUF Testing 200DMA Support

HUNGARY
  • EURHUF has been testing its 200DMA support this week as momentum on HUF remains firm; a break below that level would open the door for a move down to 355.
  • Traders keep chasing the interest rate differential (vs. EUR) following the upside revision in the terminal rate.
  • The 1W depo rate (effective rate) could reach up to 4.5% in early 2022, with ‘core’ policy rate expected to slowly converge towards 1W depo rate through H1 2022.
  • On the topside, first resistance stands at 360, followed by 360.74 (100DMA).
  • Next important data to watch will be December inflation, coming out on January 14 and expected to decelerate to 7.2% (from 7.4% the previous month).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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