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Why MNI
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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessEuribor Futures Off Lows But Remain Weaker
Euribor futures are off intraday lows but remain -1.0 to -3.5 ticks through the blues after core FI drifted lower through the Asia-Pac session.
- German industrial production printed a touch above consensus but was still negative on an annual basis for the 10th consecutive month.
- ECB-dated OIS implied rates firmed a touch overnight but remain within recent ranges, with 23bps of cuts priced through the June meeting and 72bps of easing priced through year end.
- Today’s scheduled ECB speakers include the hawkish-leaning Wunsch and the usually dovish de Cos, the latter of whom we heard from yesterday (with little deviation from the status quo, pointing to a rate cut in June, while providing little colour beyond that meeting).
- Today’s regional data calendar includes Spanish industrial production and Italian retail sales.
Meeting Date | ESTR ECB-Dated OIS (%) | Difference Vs. Current Effective ESTR Rate (bp) |
Jun-24 | 3.679 | -22.7 |
Jul-24 | 3.608 | -29.8 |
Sep-24 | 3.417 | -48.9 |
Oct-24 | 3.340 | -56.7 |
Dec-24 | 3.184 | -72.2 |
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.