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Euribor leading the way lower this morning

STIR FUTURES
  • Euribor futures are leading the way lower this morning with most of the strip down 3 ticks, reversing some of the rally induced by the release of the MNI sources piece yesterday that played down the significance of Knot's recent comments regarding a 50bp hike and instead stated that expectations on the ECB are generally for two 25bp hikes this year, with the possibility of three. Markets now price in around 32bp (cumulatively) for a July ECB hike, up from 21bp on Friday while 66bp is priced by September. As we noted in the What to Watch bullet, the highlight today will be the release of the ECB Accounts at 12:30BST / 13:30CET.
  • The Eurodollar strip has seen Whites move a little higher, Reds little changed while Greens and Blues are up to 2 ticks lower today. For the Fed, markets price 53bp for June, 104bp by July, 143bp by September and 196bp by year-end.
  • The SONIA strip is generally within a tick of yesterday's close. Markets now price in 32bp for June, 66bp by August, 90bp by September, 111bp by November and 124bp by year-end.

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