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Euribor Strip A Touch Softer; EU Fiscal Deal Updates And US NFP Eyed

STIR

The Euribor strip sits 0.5-3.0 ticks softer through the Blues, as global core FI markets tick away from yesterday's highs.

  • Another round of pressure for long end JGBs provided a headwind for core global bonds in Asia hours, with fresh weakness seen in more recent trade.
  • ECB-dated OIS contracts sit shy of dovish extremes seen earlier this week, but still price around 142bps of cuts by the December 2024 meeting. There are 18bps of cuts priced by March 2024 and 39bps by April 2024 at typing.
  • Domestically, there will be some interest in the Ecofin meeting of finance ministers, with hopes that a deal on fiscal rules can be reached. The MNI Policy Team Reported this morning that Thursday night talks did not result in a breakthrough (for more, see the MNI Policy Mainwire at 0728 GMT). There have been some suggestions that another meeting may be required, although 95% of the matters are now agreed, per comments from Finance Ministers.
  • The local data docket is quiet today (note the ECB are in their pre-meeting quiet period), with main focus on the US labour market data release at 1330GMT.

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