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Eurodollar/Treasury Option Roundup

US TSYS
Friday's Eurodollar, Treasury option flows were a bit more subdued than the prior session, perhaps wary of adding to positions after underlying rates sold off sharply in early trade -- taking a wait and see approach ahead of the weekend.
  • Note on underlying Treasury futures and yield curve in relation to recession concern -- or measure of confidence in Fed managing a soft landing. Tsy yield curves bear flatten sharply! After starting off the session around +12.17, the 5s30s curve slipped below 2.0 to 1.613 low -- early 2006 levels when pair inverted from Feb-March to low of -12.669 on Feb 27, 2006. Meanwhile, 3s, 5s and 7s extending inversion vs. 10s, 5s10s at -8.125 vs. -9.094 low.
  • Treasury options appeared to favor buying put structures across the curve with particular interest in 5s as the sector seems to be the most sensitive to hawkish Fed shifts.
  • Over +67,000 FVK 114 puts, 26-26.5 and +10,000 FVM 112/113 put spds, 10.5 vs. 114-26.5/0.08%. in 10Y options: +7,000 TYK 121/122.5 put spds 7.0 over 124.5 calls vs. 122-25/0.46%; 30Y: +6,000 USK 147/147.5 put spds, 3
  • Eurodollar option trade was more mixed on net, couple notable trades: buyer of +10,000 Jun 98.87/99.00 call spds, 1.25 followed by sale of -10,000 Sep 97.50/97.87 call over risk reversals, 3.0 vs. 97.72/0.80%. Late iron condor sale took in 28.5 on -4,000 Jun 96.25/96.75/97.87/98.8.37 iron condors.

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