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NATGAS: European Gas Gains Following Putin Comments

NATGAS

European gas gained momentum on Friday as the Ukraine gas transit looks set to end, given further support by Putin comments. 

  • TTF JAN 25 up 4% at 47.55€/MWh
  • Putin said Thursday it would be impossible to arrange a new transit contract before year’s end, when the current agreement expires.
  • As things stand, there will be no transit of Russian gas from Jan. 1, Heorhii Tykhyi, spokesperson for Ukraine’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, said on Friday.
  • Even with the loss of supplies via Ukraine, Russia can still deliver gas to Europe via Turkey, though capacity on that route can’t fully compensate for the likely shortfall next year.
  • European gas has also been supported by bigger than anticipated stock draws for this point in the year. The strong draws are supporting summer 2025 prices because of the need to refill.
  • Europe will increasingly have to compete with Asia for LNG cargoes from global producers.
  • No capacity on the Slovakia-Austria border point was booked for January at auctions on Friday.
  • European gas storage was 75% full on Dec. 25 vs the 5-yr seasonal norm of 78% for this time of year according to GIE.
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European gas gained momentum on Friday as the Ukraine gas transit looks set to end, given further support by Putin comments. 

  • TTF JAN 25 up 4% at 47.55€/MWh
  • Putin said Thursday it would be impossible to arrange a new transit contract before year’s end, when the current agreement expires.
  • As things stand, there will be no transit of Russian gas from Jan. 1, Heorhii Tykhyi, spokesperson for Ukraine’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, said on Friday.
  • Even with the loss of supplies via Ukraine, Russia can still deliver gas to Europe via Turkey, though capacity on that route can’t fully compensate for the likely shortfall next year.
  • European gas has also been supported by bigger than anticipated stock draws for this point in the year. The strong draws are supporting summer 2025 prices because of the need to refill.
  • Europe will increasingly have to compete with Asia for LNG cargoes from global producers.
  • No capacity on the Slovakia-Austria border point was booked for January at auctions on Friday.
  • European gas storage was 75% full on Dec. 25 vs the 5-yr seasonal norm of 78% for this time of year according to GIE.