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European PPA Prices on Track to Rise On the Quarter

POWER

Average prices of European power purchase agreements (PPAs) have moved up slightly so far in 2Q24 compared to the previous quarter. However, prices are sharply below costs for the same quarter in 2023-22, data from energy pricing firm Pexapark show. In the short term, PPA prices could be supported today amid increases in the energy complex.

  • EU PPA prices rose to an average of €48.83/MWh so far this quarter, up from €44.36/MWh across the 1Q24 – as the TTF front month contract has averaged about €32.306/MWh so far this quarter compared to €27.55/MWh averaged in the previous.
  • Despite this, EU PPA prices are significantly lower on the year, with average prices in 2Q23 at about €59.05/MWh and in 2Q22 averaging €90.79/MWh – amid the energy crisis.
  • EU PPA prices in 3Q24 could remain firm from the previous quarter, with prices in 3Q23 averaging €55.55/MWh compared to €59.05/MWh in 2Q23.
  • Closer in, EU PPA prices closed at €50.07/MWh on 4 June – down by €0.78/MWh from the previous day.
  • PPA Prices could be supported today amid price increases in TTF, emissions and German power.
  • TTF Gas JUL 24 up 1.6% at 33.905 EUR/MWh
  • EUA DEC 24 up 0.5% at 72.19 EUR/MT
  • Germany Base Pwr JUL 24 up 1% at 76.45 EUR/MWh

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