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UKRAINE: Europeans Increasingly Likely To Back Negotiated Resolution To Ukraine

UKRAINE
EM BulletHomepagemarkets-real-timePolitical RiskPolitical Risk BulletCEEMEABulletUkraineEmerging Market News

A new December survey from YouGov has found that support for Ukraine fell significantly amongst all major Western European backers of Kyiv. 

  • The survey, of voters in France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Sweden, Denmark and the UK, shows that Europeans are now increasingly likely to support a negotiated resolution to the war, even if it means Ukraine is forced to cede territory to Russia.
  • The Guardian notes on the survey: “There was some unhappiness at the idea of an imposed settlement that would involve Ukraine ceding territory to Russia, but also widespread belief that the new US president would abandon Ukraine after his inauguration on 20 January.”
  • The Guardian adds: “It is unclear how any deal on Ukraine could be done. Putin last week restated his maximalist goals, including Russian control of Crimea and four “annexed” Ukrainian regions, plus the demilitarisation of Ukraine and a veto on its Nato membership.”

Figure 1: Support for Ukraine by Country, Over Time

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A new December survey from YouGov has found that support for Ukraine fell significantly amongst all major Western European backers of Kyiv. 

  • The survey, of voters in France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Sweden, Denmark and the UK, shows that Europeans are now increasingly likely to support a negotiated resolution to the war, even if it means Ukraine is forced to cede territory to Russia.
  • The Guardian notes on the survey: “There was some unhappiness at the idea of an imposed settlement that would involve Ukraine ceding territory to Russia, but also widespread belief that the new US president would abandon Ukraine after his inauguration on 20 January.”
  • The Guardian adds: “It is unclear how any deal on Ukraine could be done. Putin last week restated his maximalist goals, including Russian control of Crimea and four “annexed” Ukrainian regions, plus the demilitarisation of Ukraine and a veto on its Nato membership.”

Figure 1: Support for Ukraine by Country, Over Time

Keep reading...Show less