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Exame/Idea Presidential Poll Sees Bolsonaro Gain Ground

BRAZIL
  • For the 1st round, Lula maintained 44% of voting intentions, while Bolsonaro now has 36 vs 33%.
    • Difference between voting intentions for former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and for President Jair Bolsonaro is now 9 percentage points and compares to 10 points in the previous runoff poll, according to Exame/Ideapoll.
  • Brazil Sees Fiscal Deficit of BRL60-65b in 2023 Budget: Reuters
  • An estimated deficit between 60 billion and 65 billion reais next year takes into account an Auxilio-Brasil social aid value at 400 reais, which could result in an even bigger deficit in the 2023 budget if the payment amount is permanently increased to 600 reais, says Reuters, citing two people at Economy Ministry with knowledge of the matter.
  • A 200 reais increase in Auxílio-Brasil would have an additional cost of around 50 billion.

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