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Existing Home Sales Fall Less Than Expected, Tighter Supply

US DATA
  • Existing home sales fell by less than expected in December, -1.5% M/M (cons -3.4%) after -7.9% M/M, faring better than the latest slide in pending home sales.
  • It left an 18% decline on the year for the sharpest annual decline since 2008.
  • A heavy drop in inventories saw relative supply buck the recent trend and decline from 3.3 to 2.9 months. It remains off lows from last winter of 1.6-1.7 months but the market is still tighter than the 3.9 months averaged through 2019, in turn an order of magnitude tighter than the 6.5 months in 2006 and almost 9 months in 2007.
  • NAR’s Yan: “However, expect sales to pick up again soon since mortgage rates have markedly declined after peaking late last year…. Markets in roughly half of the country are likely to offer potential buyers discounted prices compared to last year.”

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