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Exports To US Strong While Struggling To China

NEW ZEALAND

NZ recorded a merchandise trade surplus of $204mn for May after a small deficit of $3mn. The YTD deficit narrowed moderately to $10.05bn from $10.22bn and appears to have stalled around here. Exports rose 2.9% y/y outpacing imports at 0.6% y/y. The trade position is being helped by strong demand from the US, NZ’s second largest destination.

NZ merchandise trade balance $bn YTD

Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv

  • Exports to the US rose 33.2% y/y in May, driven by beef, compared with shipments to China falling 11.6% y/y. They were weak to Australia but rising solidly to both Japan and Europe. Statistics NZ observes that May was the first time that exports to the US reached the $1bn mark.
NZ exports by country y/y% 3-month ma

Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv

  • Imports are soft in line with the weakening domestic economy. Consumer goods rose only 1.6% y/y while plant & equipment fell 13.5% y/y.
  • Export growth in May was driven by wine, food preparations and precious metals & jewellery. Imports of petroleum, cereals and sugar were strong. The data is nominal and so is impacted by price movements, especially for volatile commodities.

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