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Factory Orders Fare Better Than Expected In July

US DATA
  • Factory orders came in stronger than expected in July although still fell a heavy -2.1% M/M (cons -2.5) after +2.3% M/M in June.
  • Transport weighed heavily, with factor orders +0.8% M/M (cons 0.1) after a slightly upward revised 0.3% (initial 0.2).
  • The 3M/3M run rate for overall factory orders remains strong at 6.6% annualized, although that is boosted by a heavy -1.7% M/M from back in February.
  • Indeed, less volatile measures such as core durable goods orders saw minimal revisions in the final July estimate, running at 1.7% annualized on a 3M/3M basis – tepid but holding up well relative to the ISM manufacturing survey still firmly in contraction territory despite a strong increase to 47.6 in August.

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