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Fed 2023 Implied Rates Creep Higher Ahead Of FOMC

STIR
  • Fed Funds implied rates have on balance nudged higher overnight for 2023 meeting but slip a little further for 2H24.
  • It still shows 24.5bp priced for today’s decision (unch), but with cumulative hikes edging to +30bp for Sep (+1bp) and +36bp for Nov to a terminal 5.44% (+0.5bp). That terminal closes in on the post-SVB high of 5.465%.
  • The 4bp of cuts from terminal to Dec’23 is unchanged whilst they have built slightly further out with 61bp from terminal to Jun’24 (from 58bp yesterday) and 133bp (from 130bp yesterday).

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