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Fed 2024 Cuts Hold Close To Post-FOMC Lows

STIR
  • Fed Funds implied rates are near unchanged for near-term meetings and nudge 1-2bp higher further out except for the Dec’24 which is unchanged, with the level of implied cuts through 2024 close to lows seen after Wednesday’s FOMC decision.
  • Cumulative hikes from 5.33% effective: +6.5bp Nov (-0.5bp), +13bp Dec (unch), +13.5bp to terminal 5.465% Jan (+0.5bp).
  • Cuts from terminal: 21bp to Jun’24 (from 23bp yesterday) and 75bp for Dec’24 (unch).
  • First post-FOMC Fedspeak is kicked off by Gov. Cook (voter) giving the keynote address at a NBER conference albeit on AI, before both Daly (’24 voter) and Kashkari (’23) have separate fireside chats at 1300ET. Collins (non-voter) is also seen speaking at 1000ET. The dispersion of dots in this week's SEP suggests a potential wide range of views across these speakers.

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