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Fed Dec’23 Rate Above 4.5% First Time Since Mar 13

STIR FUTURES
  • Fed Funds implied rates have pushed higher overnight with the Dec’23 rate above 4.5% for the first time since Mar 13 as fallout from regional banking woes was more fully being understood.
  • 22bp hike for May 3 FOMC (+1.5bp) before a cumulative 29bp for Jun (+4bp). Most of that hike is reversed by Sept (5bps above current levels, +4bp) before half a cut to 4.71% for Nov (+4bp) and just 30bp of cuts to year-end (+4.5bp).
  • No Fedspeak scheduled today with Gov Bowman next tomorrow on digital currencies in the last week before the FOMC blackout.


Source: Bloomberg

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