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Fed Dec’23 Rate Pushes To Fresh High Since Mar 13

STIR FUTURES
  • Fed Funds implied rates have been pushed higher overnight in spillover from a sharp increase in BoE terminal expectations after stronger than expected CPI data.
  • 22bp hike for May (+0.5bp), cumulative 29bp hike for Jun (+2bp), only just back to current levels in Nov at 4.82% (+5bp) and 17bp of cuts from current to 4.66% Dec (+7bp).
  • The Beige Book lands at 1400ET followed by late appearances from Goolsbee (’23 voter) in an interview at 1730ET and Williams (voter) at 1900ET. Both spoke last week although Williams likely more of note on the economic and policy outlook with text/Q&A at the Money Marketeers of New York University. Williams noted Apr 11 prior to Mar CPI that core services inflation has not budged.

Source: Bloomberg

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