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Fed Implied Rates Consolidate Friday’s Climb

STIR
  • Fed Funds implied rates sit almost unchanged since Friday’s close, consolidating a post US PPI lift and with terminal pricing back near levels seen just before sliding on the payrolls report two weeks ago.
  • Cumulative increases from 5.33% effective: +2.5bp Sep (unch), +9.5bp Nov to 5.43% (+0.5bp)
  • Cuts from Nov terminal: -2bp to Dec’23, 54bp to Jun’24 and 124bp to Dec’24.
  • A particularly light start to the week sees more focus on tomorrow’s retail sales print for July and Kashkari (’23 voter) speaking in a panel after only limited when speaking on CBS on Jul 30 in his only remarks since the Jul 26 FOMC decision.

Source: Bloomberg

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