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Fed Path Consolidates Post-CPI Push Higher

STIR FUTURES
  • Fed Funds implied hikes sit off yesterday’s highs that included a terminal touching 5.29% but broadly consolidate another significant push higher.
  • 27bp for March (+0.5bp), cumulative 47bp for May (unch), 68bp to a terminal 5.26% Jul (-0.5bp, with Sep higher than Jun) before only 20bps of cuts to 5.05% year-end (-1.5bp).
  • No Fedspeak scheduled today after Logan, Harker and Williams (all voting this year) helped see the terminal move in a 5.25-5.29 range. There is a solid docket though including retail sales, IP and Empire giving the first business survey for Feb.


Source: Bloomberg

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