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Finding Value in EM Markets: Russia Remains The 'Cheapest' Market

EMERGING MARKETS
  • Russia remains the ‘cheapest’ market according to our value scoring model (versus Turkey previously).
  • The rise in political instability has been weighing on RUB and Russian equities in the past three months; SBER RX is down 35% since its October peak.
  • In addition, the Ruble is the worst performing currency among the EM world since the start of the year, down 2% against the US Dollar.
  • Turkish equities also remain 'cheap' based relative to other EM markets as political and economic uncertainty combined with dovish CBRT have been weighing on TRY and domestic risky assets.
  • On the other hand, Czech equities, which are currently trading at a 13-year high, mostly driven by 'hawkish' CNB and global liquidity, still appear 'expensive' according to our scoring model.
  • Indian equities remain the most expensive market, with current price-to-book and PE ratios of 4 and 29.1, respectively (vs. 1.86 and 14.3 for the EM MSCI index).
  • In this chart, we rank the 16 EM equity markets (15 countries + EM index - MXEF Index) from 'cheapest' to the most 'expensive' ones based on the Price-to-Book, Price-to-Sales and Price-to-Earnings ratios.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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