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Flash Estimates Largely Confirmed for June CPI Prints

EUROZONE DATA
MNI (London)

GERMANY JUN HICP -0.1% M/M, +8.2% Y/Y; MAY +8.7% Y/Y

FRANCE JUN HICP +0.9%r M/M, +6.5% Y/Y; MAY +5.8% Y/Y

SPAIN JUN HICP +1.9%r M/M, +10.0% Y/Y; MAY +8.5% Y/Y

  • This morning's round of final June inflation prints largely confirmed the flash estimates, which saw a 0.5pp deceleration for Germany to +8.2% y/y, versus 0.7pp and a hot 1.5pp acceleration to +6.5% y/y for France and +10.0% y/y for Spain. The slowdown in German inflation is largely a product of energy, fuel and transport rebates.
  • Small 0.1pp upticks were seen in the French and Spanish month-on-month readings.
  • Soaring gas and energy prices continued to generate upward pressure across the Eurozone in June, as well as food prices which increased at a series-high rate in Spain. Core inflation saw some relief in Germany and France, however, continues to tick upwards in Italy and Spain.
  • As such this data confirms the need for affirmative action by the ECB in upcoming months, but offers nothing new to the debate.




Source: MNI / Bloomberg

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