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Flatter Again

US TSYS

T-Notes operate around late NY levels, just shy of their NY peak, last -0-01+ at 133-24.

  • The curve flattened further on Thursday, with the long end richening by ~5.0bp, while the shorter end was little changed on the day. The tightening of longer dated swap spreads, linked to issuance from U.S. financials in the wake of their quarterly earnings reports, aided the momentum in the space, with the same holding true for a downtick for the S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100. Notable flow saw TYU1 lifted on block during the European morning (+10,085), while an apparent mis-weighted TU/TY steepener (+11,065/-7,548) was seen later in the day. Short end flow saw some notable screen buying of EDM2 & EDU2 in early NY trade, with a 12.0K block sale of EDM4 also witnessed.
  • There was no reaction to the latest round of comments from Fed Chair Powell as he testified on the Hill for a second consecutive day. Chicago Fed President Evans ('21 voter) noted that the U.S. economy could make substantial further progress later this year -- a threshold for potential tapering of asset purchases -- and he said interest rates could rise in early 2024 or a little sooner if inflation runs hot.
  • Comments from U.S. Tsy Sec Yellen didn't add much in the way of meaningful, fresh information, and failed to impact the space.
  • Weekly jobless claims data revealed downticks in both the initial and continuing claims figures, although the former didn't see as much of a moderation as was expected, while the prior week's readings were revised higher for both metrics.
Retail sales data and the latest UoM survey will headline the local docket during NY hours.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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