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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessFollowing on from left-wing Senator Bernie.......>
US: Following on from left-wing Senator Bernie Sanders' narrow win in the New
Hampshire Democratic primary, betting markets have shown some marginal shifts in
expectations of who will be the party's eventual presidential nominee.
- Sanders fell from a probability of 39.8% on 11 Feb to 36.4% now. He had high
hopes going into NH, but was only able to secure 1st place by 1.3%, winning
25.7% of the vote to former South Bend, In. Mayor Pete Buttigieg on 24.4%.
- A small jump in Buttigieg's prospects, rising from 11.2% on 11 Feb to 13.7% .
- Former VP Joe Biden performed even worse than expected, coming 5th with 8.4%
support. Betting markets give him a 5.8% chance of the nomination, from 7.8%.
- Bettors also moving towards moderate Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar.
Previously not included Betdata.io tables, Klobuchar is now given a 4.2% chance
of securing the nomination.
- Former NYC Mayor Mike Bloomberg remains 2nd favourite, at 25.6% from 23.8%
yesterday despite not running in any primaries before Super Tuesday (3 Mar).
- NH failed to deliver a knockout blow to any candidate, likely meaning the
congested race continues through Super Tuesday and beyond.
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.