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Following the Norges Bank rate decision,...>

EURO-NOK
EURO-NOK: Following the Norges Bank rate decision, Morgan Stanley see limited
downside for the NOK as the Norges Bank have made it clear they will not
tolerate market volatility and will intervene in FX if required. MS see the
Norges Bank intervening for two reasons, namely funding fiscal expenditure and
managed FX volatility.
- On exchange rates, MS write that NOK carry is still attractive vs. EUR but not
the USD. MS write that in the near-term EUR/NOK should trade lower by 3-4%
before settling at around 10.70.
- MS recommend short GBP/NOK over the medium-term with the Bank of England still
to expand its balance sheet.

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