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FOREX: JPY Recovering Well as Asia-Pac Stocks Soften into the Local Close

FOREX
  • JPY strength gathered pace overnight on the mixed performance for Asia-Pac equities, as Hong Kong names are headed for a particularly weak close. Hang Seng is lower by over 4% just ahead of the local close, and a close at current or lower levels would reverse the rally posted since end-September, with concerns over the potential minimal impacts of stimulus, geopolitical risk and soft China data out yesterday and over the weekend continuing to weigh on sentiment.
  • USD/JPY now targets the week's low at 148.98 initially, but support is seen stronger into 147.53, the 23.6% retracement for the recovery off the mid-September low.
  • Oil-tied FX is suffering from the broad pullback in crude oil prices, keeping NOK and CAD offered. Source reports this morning suggested that Israel would not target Iran’s oil and nuclear infrastructure but would focus on military sites in any future strikes.
  • US yields have edged lower off the overnight highs, helping the greenback ease off the recent spell of strength - USD Index has failed to top yesterday's highs at 103.358, which remains the first upside level of note.
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  • JPY strength gathered pace overnight on the mixed performance for Asia-Pac equities, as Hong Kong names are headed for a particularly weak close. Hang Seng is lower by over 4% just ahead of the local close, and a close at current or lower levels would reverse the rally posted since end-September, with concerns over the potential minimal impacts of stimulus, geopolitical risk and soft China data out yesterday and over the weekend continuing to weigh on sentiment.
  • USD/JPY now targets the week's low at 148.98 initially, but support is seen stronger into 147.53, the 23.6% retracement for the recovery off the mid-September low.
  • Oil-tied FX is suffering from the broad pullback in crude oil prices, keeping NOK and CAD offered. Source reports this morning suggested that Israel would not target Iran’s oil and nuclear infrastructure but would focus on military sites in any future strikes.
  • US yields have edged lower off the overnight highs, helping the greenback ease off the recent spell of strength - USD Index has failed to top yesterday's highs at 103.358, which remains the first upside level of note.