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FOREX: USDJPY Hits Fresh One-Month Low as Greenback Slide Extends

FOREX
  • The USDJPY (-1.59%) selloff paused for breath in the immediate aftermath of the WMR fix, however, weakness then resumed and was exacerbated on a clear break of the 151.00 handle, to print a fresh one-month low at 150.46. Bearish sentiment has picked up after the pair closed below the 20-day EMA for the first time since Oct 01, gathering solid downside momentum as we traded below both the post-election lows and the 50-day EMA.
  • Given how aggressive the move has been, we would highlight 150.19, the 38.2% retracement of the Sep 16 - Nov 15 and 149.09, the Oct 21 low as the next supports.
  • In sympathy, the dollar index is down roughly 1%, trading below 106, with notable gains for the likes of EUR and GBP, despite the weakness for major equity indices.
  • Minor technical levels in both EURUSD (+0.92%) and GBPUSD (+0.95%) are being tested, and resistances here can be found at the 20-day EMAs of 1.0624 and 1.2739 respectively.
  • NZD is the second best performer in G10, owing to the RBNZ statement that implied further cuts into 2025, but not as much as the market had priced pre the meeting. Waning risk sentiment has relatively weighed on the AUD however, prompting a sharp pullback for AUDNZD (-0.87%), which earlier in the week traded to fresh two-year highs.
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  • The USDJPY (-1.59%) selloff paused for breath in the immediate aftermath of the WMR fix, however, weakness then resumed and was exacerbated on a clear break of the 151.00 handle, to print a fresh one-month low at 150.46. Bearish sentiment has picked up after the pair closed below the 20-day EMA for the first time since Oct 01, gathering solid downside momentum as we traded below both the post-election lows and the 50-day EMA.
  • Given how aggressive the move has been, we would highlight 150.19, the 38.2% retracement of the Sep 16 - Nov 15 and 149.09, the Oct 21 low as the next supports.
  • In sympathy, the dollar index is down roughly 1%, trading below 106, with notable gains for the likes of EUR and GBP, despite the weakness for major equity indices.
  • Minor technical levels in both EURUSD (+0.92%) and GBPUSD (+0.95%) are being tested, and resistances here can be found at the 20-day EMAs of 1.0624 and 1.2739 respectively.
  • NZD is the second best performer in G10, owing to the RBNZ statement that implied further cuts into 2025, but not as much as the market had priced pre the meeting. Waning risk sentiment has relatively weighed on the AUD however, prompting a sharp pullback for AUDNZD (-0.87%), which earlier in the week traded to fresh two-year highs.