March 28, 2024 10:04 GMT
Forint Hampered by Greenback Strength Alongside Regional Peers
HUF
- Greenback strength amid hawkish comments from Fed’s Waller overnight has been weighing on the EM FX basket, resulting in EUR/HUF erasing yesterday’s losses. Note the forint is second to only the South African rand as the weakest currency in the EMEA region today.
- At typing, EUR/HUF is up 0.25%, though we remain some way off topside focus at the 400.00 handle. Overall, the cross is still around 0.7% lower on the week, while the forint has outperformed its CE3 counterparts amid a more hawkish NBH policy mix.
- This week’s lows in EUR/HUF have closely matched the 20-day EMA, intersecting today at 394.44. While this average has been pierced recently, a clear break is needed to signal scope for an extension lower towards the 50-day EMA at 391.06. This would undermine the recent bullish theme.
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