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FRAs Pricing In Another ‘Large’ Hike For April Meeting

POLAND
  • Forward rates have been constantly rising in recent weeks amid surging inflation risks following the dramatic PLN depreciation.
  • With the FRA 1Mx4M currently trading 90bps above the WIbor 3M, the market is expecting another ‘large’ hike for the April meeting (i.e. 75bps hike).
  • FRA 3Mx6M is trading at 160bps above Wibor 3M, implying that market is currently pricing in a terminal rate between 5% and 5.25%.
  • As a reminder, the NBP decided to raise its benchmark rate by 75bps to 3.5%, its highest level since February 2013.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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