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POWER: French Spot Power to Decline on Higher Wind

POWER
CEEMEAEurozoneEnergy BulletsFranceBulletPower BulletsCommodities

The French spot power index is expected to decline, diverging from the German market, with forecasts for higher wind output offsetting a slight increase in demand. French front-month power is currently trading lower, but prices could rebound today with forecasts for cooler weather. 

  • France Base Power MAR 25 down 0.3% at 87.15 EUR/MWh (07:10 AM GMT)
  • EUA DEC 25 up 0.3% at 81.16 EUR/MT
  • TTF Gas MAR 25 up 1.3% at 52.72 EUR/MWh
  • Nuclear availability in France was stable at 78% of capacity as of Wednesday morning, RTE data showed, cited by Bloomberg.
  • EdF’s 1.62GW Flamanville 3 reactor is scheduled to resume test runs on 5 February 15:00CET with output at 100MW that are scheduled until 8 February 00:00CET.
  • The unplanned outage at the 1.31GW Nogent 2 nuclear reactor has been extended by one day until 7 February 23:00CET.
  • The latest 6-10 day ECMWF weather forecast for Paris suggested mean temperatures have been revised lower on the day to remain below the seasonal average through the forecast period.
  • Mean temperatures in Paris are forecast to decrease to 2.7C on Thursday, down from 4C on Wednesday and below the seasonal average of 4.6C.
  • Power demand in France is forecast to rise to 69.71GW on Thursday, up from 69.44GW on Wednesday according to Bloomberg.
  • Wind output in France is forecast to rise to 7.41GW during base load on Thursday, up from 2.45GW on Wednesday according to SpotRenewables.
  • Residual load in France is forecast to decline to 60.69GWh/h on Thursday, down from 63.55GWh/h on Wednesday according to Reuters.
  • France’s hydro balance has been revised up to end at -2.07TWh on 19 February, compared with -2.55TWh a day earlier.
  • The planned maintenance at the 1.01GW ElecLink interconnector between France and the UK will end five days earlier on 5 February 14:00CET. The link will have additional works for 12h starting 7 February. 
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The French spot power index is expected to decline, diverging from the German market, with forecasts for higher wind output offsetting a slight increase in demand. French front-month power is currently trading lower, but prices could rebound today with forecasts for cooler weather. 

  • France Base Power MAR 25 down 0.3% at 87.15 EUR/MWh (07:10 AM GMT)
  • EUA DEC 25 up 0.3% at 81.16 EUR/MT
  • TTF Gas MAR 25 up 1.3% at 52.72 EUR/MWh
  • Nuclear availability in France was stable at 78% of capacity as of Wednesday morning, RTE data showed, cited by Bloomberg.
  • EdF’s 1.62GW Flamanville 3 reactor is scheduled to resume test runs on 5 February 15:00CET with output at 100MW that are scheduled until 8 February 00:00CET.
  • The unplanned outage at the 1.31GW Nogent 2 nuclear reactor has been extended by one day until 7 February 23:00CET.
  • The latest 6-10 day ECMWF weather forecast for Paris suggested mean temperatures have been revised lower on the day to remain below the seasonal average through the forecast period.
  • Mean temperatures in Paris are forecast to decrease to 2.7C on Thursday, down from 4C on Wednesday and below the seasonal average of 4.6C.
  • Power demand in France is forecast to rise to 69.71GW on Thursday, up from 69.44GW on Wednesday according to Bloomberg.
  • Wind output in France is forecast to rise to 7.41GW during base load on Thursday, up from 2.45GW on Wednesday according to SpotRenewables.
  • Residual load in France is forecast to decline to 60.69GWh/h on Thursday, down from 63.55GWh/h on Wednesday according to Reuters.
  • France’s hydro balance has been revised up to end at -2.07TWh on 19 February, compared with -2.55TWh a day earlier.
  • The planned maintenance at the 1.01GW ElecLink interconnector between France and the UK will end five days earlier on 5 February 14:00CET. The link will have additional works for 12h starting 7 February.