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POWER: French Spot Power to Fall

POWER

The French spot power index is expected to decline with forecast for higher wind output and lower demand amid milder weather. France front-month power is pulling back on Monday with a slight upward revision in temperature forecasts and losses in the energy complex. 

  • France Base Power FEB 25 down 1.2% at 92.71 EUR/MWh
  • EUA DEC 25 down 0.4% at 78.91 EUR/MT
  • TTF Gas FEB 25 down 1% at 46.4 EUR/MWh
  • Nuclear availability in France was stable at 92% of capacity as of Monday morning, RTE data showed, cited by Bloomberg.
  • EdF’s 1.62GW Flamanville 3 nuclear reactor is currently in test runs with 35MW of capacity until 23 January.
  • The latest 6-10 day ECMWF weather forecast for Paris suggested mean temperatures have been revised higher with temperatures below normal until 21 January, after which temperatures will remain above normal through the forecast period.
  • Mean temperatures in Paris are forecast to rise to 2C on Tuesday, from 0.4C on Monday and below the seasonal average of 4.2C.
  • Power demand in France is forecast to fall to 74.83GW on Tuesday, down from 75.35GW on Monday according to Bloomberg.
  • Wind output in France is forecast to rise to 3.58GW during base load on Tuesday, up from 1.69GW on Monday according to SpotRenewables.
  • Residual load in France is forecast to decline to 66.07GWh/h on Tuesday, down from 69.95GWh/h on Monday according to Reuters.
  • France’s hydro balance has been revised down from Friday’s forecast to end at -2.38TWh on 3 February. 
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The French spot power index is expected to decline with forecast for higher wind output and lower demand amid milder weather. France front-month power is pulling back on Monday with a slight upward revision in temperature forecasts and losses in the energy complex. 

  • France Base Power FEB 25 down 1.2% at 92.71 EUR/MWh
  • EUA DEC 25 down 0.4% at 78.91 EUR/MT
  • TTF Gas FEB 25 down 1% at 46.4 EUR/MWh
  • Nuclear availability in France was stable at 92% of capacity as of Monday morning, RTE data showed, cited by Bloomberg.
  • EdF’s 1.62GW Flamanville 3 nuclear reactor is currently in test runs with 35MW of capacity until 23 January.
  • The latest 6-10 day ECMWF weather forecast for Paris suggested mean temperatures have been revised higher with temperatures below normal until 21 January, after which temperatures will remain above normal through the forecast period.
  • Mean temperatures in Paris are forecast to rise to 2C on Tuesday, from 0.4C on Monday and below the seasonal average of 4.2C.
  • Power demand in France is forecast to fall to 74.83GW on Tuesday, down from 75.35GW on Monday according to Bloomberg.
  • Wind output in France is forecast to rise to 3.58GW during base load on Tuesday, up from 1.69GW on Monday according to SpotRenewables.
  • Residual load in France is forecast to decline to 66.07GWh/h on Tuesday, down from 69.95GWh/h on Monday according to Reuters.
  • France’s hydro balance has been revised down from Friday’s forecast to end at -2.38TWh on 3 February.