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Front End Yields Continue To Climb, Jan CPI Out Next Wednesday
Aussie bond futures sit lower, YM off -.06, XM down -045. Cash government bond yields are around 2-5bps firmer across the curve, led by the front end.
- Spill over weakness has been evident from US TSYs. TYH4 is threatening a clean break sub Thursday lows. Fed speak has continued and generally pushed back against the idea of early rate cuts. Harker didn't rule out a cut in May but noted it wasn't the forecast and would rely on data surprising on the downside.
- Goldman Sachs also now has 4 cuts this year instead of 5 (with May no longer penciled in) in terms of its Fed outlook.
- For Aussie bond futures we remain with February ranges. YM lows came back on Feb 14 at 96.11 (last around 96.21).
- 2yr swap rates have firmed nearly 3bps but at 4.04% remain sub earlier Feb highs (in contrast to NZ). The 10yr swap rate is up 3bps to 4.25%.
- Looking ahead the data calendar holds Jan CPI next Wed (along with the RBNZ) as the next major domestic focus point.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.