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Futures Holding Weaker, Curve Twist-Flattens, Gov. Ueda In Parliament

JGBS

In Tokyo morning trade, JGB futures are holding in negative territory, -9 compared to settlement levels, after resuming dealing after yesterday’s holiday. BoJ Governor Ueda has been in Parliament since 10:00 am JT. So far, Ueda has said:

  • INFLATION TARGET CAME WITHIN SIGHT
  • EXPECTS EASY FINANCIAL CONDITIONS TO REMAIN
  • BOJ TO CONTINUE TO FIRMLY SUPPORT ECONOMY, INFLATION
  • UPSIDE RISKS COULD HAVE BEEN BIGGER IF WAITED TOO LONG
  • Earlier, Jibun Bank PMIs (Mar P): Mfg rose to 48.2 from 47.2 in Feb; Services rose to 54.9 from 52.9 in Feb; and Composite rose to 52.3 from 50.6 in Feb.
  • Meanwhile, February Exports rose 7.8% from last year and Imports advanced by 0.5%.
  • The cash JGB curve has twist-flattened, pivoting at the 5s, with yields 1bp higher to 3bps lower. The benchmark 10-year yield is 1bp lower at 0.731% versus the YTD high of 0.801%.
  • The swaps curve has bear-flattened, with rates 1-2bps higher. Swap spreads are wider.

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