Free Trial

Futures Off Bests But Richer At Lunch, Swaps Curve Bear Steepens

JGBS

JGB futures sit mid-range, +10 compared to settlement levels, at the lunch break after paring the overnight uptick seen ahead of the weekend in early Tokyo trade.

  • With April’s Jibun Bank Mfg PMI (Final) failing to provide a domestic driver, the local market has been happy to trade with US tsys as they cheapen in the Asia-Pac session.
  • Bloomberg reports that Barclays Plc and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategists have adjusted their projections for the timing of revisions to the BoJ yield-curve control policy from June to July. July is the next time the BOJ outlook report is due.
  • The strong recovery from 147.27, the April 18 low, confirms the corrective nature of the pullback between March 22- April 18, according to MNI’s technical analyst. A break of 149.53, the March 22 high, would confirm a resumption of the uptrend.
  • Cash JGBs are trading mixed across the curve, with the belly outperforming. Benchmark yields are 0.7bp lower to 1.9bp higher, with the 30-40-year zone experiencing weaker performance compared to the JGB futures-influenced 7-year zone, showing the strongest result. The benchmark 10-year yield is 0.3bp lower at 0.391%, well below BoJ's YCC limit of 0.50%.
  • The swaps curve has bear steepened with rates 0.2-2.75bp higher. Swap spreads are wider across the curve.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.