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Gains Considered Corrective

AUDUSD TECHS
  • RES 4: 0.7776 High Jun 11
  • RES 3: 0.7684 50-day EMA
  • RES 2: 0.7645 High Jun 17
  • RES 1: 0.7617 High Jun 25
  • PRICE: 0.7571 @ 16:55 BST Jun 28
  • SUP 1: 0.7538/7476 Low Jun 23 / Low Jun 21 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 2: 0.7462 Low Dec 21, 2020
  • SUP 3: 0.7372 1.236 proj of Feb 25 - Mar 9 - 18 price swing
  • SUP 4: 0.7339 Low Nov 30, 2020

Last week's AUDUSD gains are likely a correction. The outlook remains bearish following recent weakness that resulted in a break below key support at 0.7532 Apr 1 low and price has also tested the 200-dma. The move lower confirmed a resumption of the reversal that occurred Feb 25 and signals scope for a deeper pullback towards 0.7462 next, the Dec 21, 2020 low. On the upside, initial firm resistance is at 0.7645, the Jun 17 high.

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